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The Transmission of Sustained Growth through the Terms of Trade in an Endogenous Growth Model

机译:内生增长模型中通过贸易条款传递的持续增长

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摘要

This paper develops a two-country model of endogenous growth and international trade in intermediate goods. In autarky just one of the economies enjoys sustained growth. The trade situation may be characterized by complete specialization of both countries, or by incomplete specialization of the growing economy. In either case, trade transmits perpetual growth to the stagnant economy because of the permanent improvements in its terms of trade. The existence of a non-reproducible factor in the growing economy is crucial to ensure propagation of growth. Moreover, under incomplete specialization countries converge in per capita income. This result relies on two assumptions. First, there must be a large enough share of world income to pay for the input in which the stagnant economy has comparative advantage. Second, all technologies producing intermediate goods should be equally intensive in the non-reproducible factor.
机译:本文建立了一个内生增长和中间产品国际贸易的两国模型。在自给自足的国家中,只有其中一个经济体享有持续增长。贸易状况的特点可能是两国完全专业化,或者经济增长不完全专业化。无论哪种情况,由于贸易条件的不断改善,贸易都会使停滞的经济永久增长。增长中的经济存在不可复制的因素,对于确保增长的增长至关重要。此外,在专业化程度不完全的国家,人均收入趋于一致。该结果基于两个假设。首先,必须有足够大的世界收入份额来支付停滞的经济具有相对优势的投入。其次,所有生产中间产品的技术在不可复制性因素上都应同样密集。

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