Institutional uncertainty and its effect on electricity supply choces for fringe of grid consumers

摘要

This paper explores institutional issues and, using a planning methodology able to incorporate risk and uncertainty, explores and affect of these issues on the determination of least cost planning solutions. Energy supply options for remote and fringe of grid consumers is New South Wales (NSE), Australia include grid connection, where the cost of connection is paid by the consumer and Remote Area Power Supply (RAPS) systems which may be bought or leased from a RAPS supplier. The methodology exposes these which may be bought or leased form a RAPS supplier. The methodology exposes these candidate supply options to a large set of scenarios which incorporate the decision maker's view risk sensitive decisions. Case study examples incorporating effects of institutioanl uncertainty suggest that PRAS systems are adaptable and risk-adverse energy supply options.