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Imprecise reliabilities: experiences and advances

机译:不精确的可靠性:经验和进步

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Imprecise probability theories are considered useful in reliability and risk assessments, but some of them were found to be unsatisfactory. This paper summarizes the authors' experience in dealing with the Dempster--Shafer theory of evidence and demonstrates the authors' advances in the application of the theory of coherent imprecise probabilities for reliability assessments. The obtained lower and upper reliabilities of series, parallel and general systems have very specific useful properties that cannot be obtained in the framework of standard probability theory.
机译:不精确的概率理论在可靠性和风险评估中被认为是有用的,但是发现其中一些并不令人满意。本文总结了作者在处理Dempster-Shafer证据理论方面的经验,并论证了作者在应用相干不精确概率理论进行可靠性评估方面的进展。所获得的串联,并联和一般系统的上下可靠性具有非常特殊的有用特性,这些特性在标准概率理论的框架中无法获得。

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