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A combined usage of stochastic and quantitative risk assessment methods in the worksites: Application on an electric power provider

机译:在工作场所中结合使用随机和定量风险评估方法:在电力供应商上的应用

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摘要

An individual method cannot build either a realistic forecasting model or a risk assessment process in the worksites, and future perspectives should focus on the combined forecasting/estimation approach. The main purpose of this paper is to gain insight into a risk prediction and estimation methodological framework, using the combination of three different methods, including the proportional quantitativerisk-assessment technique (PRAT), the time-series stochastic process (TSP), and the method of estimating the societal-risk (SRE) by F-N curves. In order to prove the usefulness of the combined usage of stochastic and quantitative risk assessment methods, an application on an electric power provider industry is presented to, using empirical data.
机译:单独的方法无法在工作场所中建立实际的预测模型或风险评估流程,因此未来的观点应着重于组合的预测/估计方法。本文的主要目的是结合三种不同的方法,包括比例定量风险评估技术(PRAT),时间序列随机过程(TSP)和风险评估方法,以深入了解风险预测和评估方法框架。 FN曲线估算社会风险(SRE)的方法。为了证明随机和定量风险评估方法结合使用的有用性,使用经验数据提出了在电力供应商行业的应用。

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