The global economy is slowing as world trade and production begin to normalise after the lift received from the "inventory rebound", following the deep recession of 2008/09.Although we do not foresee a "double dip" scenario, we believe the global economy will slow to a more sustainable pace.There are two key reasons for this expected slowdown: first, the inventory cycle will fade and, second, fiscal constraints mean government spending will act as a drag on growth over the next couple of years.
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