Oh, If I Can Live That Long ...

摘要

The article discusses long-term forecasts for world economic development that were prepared by Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs Bank is a well-respected institution.1 And the employees in its research divisions earn their keep: their long-term forecasts are not games of pure reason that do not commit to anything, but extremely practical studies. Their purpose is to give the bank's clients a general idea of promising lines of investment, and the bank's leaders take these forecasts into account in developing long-term strategy. Goldman Sachs analysts themselves also consider their work to be exclusively practical and do not publish the results of their research in academic journals. But the authors of these journals are not ashamed to cite Goldman Sachs publications as an authoritative and trustworthy source (by the way, the concept of the "BRIC" countries was first introduced in one of these publications in 2001).