Cascading Failure Pattern Identification in Power Systems Based on Sequential Pattern Mining

摘要

Cascading failure simulation data contain many fault chains (FCs), which can present cascading failure propagation paths. In cascading failure process, some component outages play dominating roles in propagation, indicating the common characteristics among different FCs. The commonness is embodied as combinations of components which are vulnerable to trip and cause serious blackout consequences. In addition, a component outage will increase the outage probability of relevant components and induce dependent outage in subsequent stage. Such relevance between two components can be called component outage causality. A combination of sequential component outages with outage causalities, which exists in different FCs and leads to system load loss, can be regarded as a cascading failure pattern (CFP). Statistical characteristics of FCs indicate that CFPs are variously distributed in different FCs, can present propagation paths and cause different impacts on system blackouts. This paper proposes a cascading failure pattern (CFP) identification method based on sequential pattern mining approach. The proposed method focuses on mining CFPs from massive FCs, quantifies the influence of CFP on system blackout and identifies the critical ones. The proposed method is verified with FCs data on IEEE 39-bus and 118-bus test systems.