GDP growth in Russia: different capital stock series and the terms of trade

摘要

There are different academic assessments of the principal forces behind Russia's GDP growth. Studies that reconstruct capital stocks using gross fixed capital formation and the perpetual inventory method find that total factor productivity growth has been paramount to GDP growth. On the other hand, capital services datasets that have recently been made available find that capital developments have been instrumental in driving economic growth. We reconstruct a capital stock series for Russia for 1995-2013 and compare the results to two capital services time series using the Solow growth model. We also take into account terms of trade developments that have lent strong support to Russia's economy. The terms of trade is shown to have been an important factor behind the development of gross fixed capital formation and thus GDP growth.