Globally networked risks and how to respond

摘要

Today's strongly connected, global networks have produced highly interdependent systems that we do not understand and cannot control well. These systems are vulnerable to failure at all scales, posing serious threats to society, even when external shocks are absent. As the complexity and interaction strengths in our networked world increase, man-made systems can become unstable, creating uncontrollable situations even when decision-makers are well-skilled, have all data and technology at their disposal, and do their best. To make these systems manageable, a fundamental redesign is needed. A 'Global Systems Science' might create the required knowledge and paradigm shift in thinking.%我们都受益于那些帮助人员、商品、货币、信rn息和思想进行快速交换的复杂的、独立的全球rn化网络。但Dirk Helbing则认为，同样是这些rn网络，它们也可能给我们带来毁灭。我们无法rn轻易控制它们的行为，它们在所有规模的灾难rn性失败面前也比较脆弱，即便在没有外部>中击rn的情况下也是如此。Helbjng得出结论认为，rn当前的与这种网络化行为相关的风险分析方法rn是不够的，我们还需要专门设计用来应对我们rn自己所创造的复杂性的新的信息和通信技术。rn而且，这将需要进行前所未有的全球合作。