An integrated probabilistic approach for optimum maintenance of fatigue-critical structural components

摘要

Inspection and maintenance are important means to validate or recover reliability of metallic structural systems, which usually degrade over time due to fatigue, corrosion and other mechanisms. These inspection and maintenance actions generally account for a large part of lifetime costs, which necessitate an efficient maintenance strategy to satisfy the requirements on reliability and costs. Most often, an optimum maintenance/repair crack size criterion is derived by probabilistic cost-benefit analysis, e.g. by minimization of expected lifetime costs, which are assessed based on cost models. This paper proposes an integrated approach to derive an optimum range for repair (crack size) criterion using both reliability-based and cost-based optimization. It is found that an optimum repair criterion exists which leads to the maximum lifetime fatigue reliability. A smaller repair criterion than the reliability-optimum do not lead to a higher lifetime fatigue reliability but leads to higher lifetime costs. Hence, a limit for repair criterion is defined by the reliability-optimum criterion, which can be obtained without cost models. The reliability optimum criterion is found to be smaller than the cost-optimum criterion and thus an optimum range between the reliability-optimum and cost-optimum criterion is established.