Using empirical dynamic modeling to assess relationships between atmospheric trace gases and eukaryotic phytoplankton populations in coastal Southern California

摘要

Many different atmospheric trace gases have been directly and indirectly linked to biological sources and sinks. Here we assess how atmospheric mixing ratios of a range of halocarbons (CH3Br, CH2Br2, CHBr3, CH3Cl, CHCl3, and CH3I) and COS are causally connected to naturally occurring marine eukaryotic phytoplankton in coastal Southern California. We use a self-organizing map to characterize the abiotic environment and empirical dynamic modeling with convergent cross mapping to identify causal interactions between multiple in situ 8-year time-series, sampled at the Ellen Browning Scripps Pier at Scripps Institution of Oceanography. Our work supports previous findings that halocarbon production is found in a variety of marine phytoplankton taxa and suggests that local phytoplankton may have the ability to affect changes in the mixing ratios of halocarbons in nearshore environments. There were notable links between changes in CH3I and several different diatom taxa and between changes in CHCl3 and a group of phytoplankton during specific ecosystem states. Our results suggest that both seasonal and non-seasonal shifts in eukaryotic phytoplankton structure contribute to small fluctuations in atmospheric halocarbon mixing ratios that exhibit strong seasonality and may occasionally play a larger role in atmospheric mixing ratios of halocarbons that display reduced seasonality.