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Battle of the Water Calibration Networks

机译:水校准网络之战

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摘要

Calibration is a process of comparing model results with field data and making the appropriate adjustments so that both results agree. Calibration methods can involve formal optimization methods or manual methods in which the modeler informally examines alternative model parameters. The development of a calibration framework typically involves the following: (1) definition of the model variables, coefficients, and equations, (2) selection of an objective function to measure the quality of the calibration, (3) selection of the set of data to be used for the calibration process, and (4) selection of an optimization/manual scheme for altering the coefficient values in the direction of reducing the objective function. Hydraulic calibration usually involves the modification of system demands, fine-tuning the roughness values of pipes, altering pump operation characteristics, and adjusting other model attributes that affect simulation results, in particular those that have significant uncertainty associated with their values. From the previous steps, it is clear that model calibration is neither unique nor a straightforward technical task. The success of a calibration process depends on the modeler's experience and intuition, as well as on the mathematical model and procedures adopted for the calibration process. This paper provides a summary of the Battle of the Water Calibration Networks (B WCN), the goal of which was to objectively compare the solutions of different approaches to the calibration of water distribution systems through application to a real water distribution system. Fourteen teams from academia, water utilities, and private consultants participated. The BWCN outcomes were presented and assessed at the 12th Water Distribution Systems Analysis conference in Tucson, Arizona, in September 2010. This manuscript summarizes the BWCN exercise and suggests future research directions for the calibration of water distribution systems.
机译:校准是将模型结果与现场数据进行比较并进行适当调整以使两个结果一致的过程。校准方法可以包括正式的优化方法或手动方法,在此方法中,建模人员可以非正式地检查替代模型参数。校准框架的开发通常涉及以下内容:(1)模型变量,系数和方程的定义,(2)选择用于测量校准质量的目标函数,(3)选择数据集(4)选择优化/手动方案,以在减小目标函数的方向上改变系数值。液压校准通常包括修改系统需求,微调管道的粗糙度值,更改泵的运行特性以及调整影响模拟结果的其他模型属性,尤其是那些与它们的值相关的不确定性很大的模型属性。从前面的步骤中可以明显看出,模型校准既不是唯一的也不是简单的技术任务。校准过程的成功取决于建模者的经验和直觉,以及校准过程所采用的数学模型和过程。本文提供了水标定网络之战(B WCN)的摘要,其目的是通过将其应用于实际的水分配系统,客观地比较不同方法对水分配系统进行标定的解决方案。来自学术界,自来水公司和私人顾问的14个团队参加了会议。在2010年9月于亚利桑那州图森举行的第12届供水系统分析会议上介绍并评估了BWCN的成果。该手稿总结了BWCN的工作,并提出了校准供水系统的未来研究方向。

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