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Analysis of risk assessment factors of individuals in volcanic hazards: Review of the last decade

机译:火山灾害中个人的风险评估因素分析:最近十年的回顾

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摘要

There are many methods and scientific research approaches where modeling and understanding on how individuals evaluate natural origin risks. Despite the proficiency and depth of such studies, we evidenced a lack for a holistic approach where the most influencing factors in the individual decision-making process were covered. This research seeks to understand what those factors are, how they relate to each other, and how the behave with respect to individual perception and acceptance of risk. For this, we performed a thorough literature review covering the last decade in relation with the understanding of how these incidence factors affected the perception and acceptance of risk in the communities exposed to volcanic events under the decision-making process. Our research was able to detect how the identified variables influenced each other in this process. We analyzed different study cases found in the literature and, additionally, we propose as a further research a new theoretical approach related to decision-making modeling process under dynamic system that would be valuable as a contribution to risk management.
机译:有许多方法和科学研究方法可以对个人如何评估自然起源风险进行建模和理解。尽管此类研究精通且深入,但我们证明缺乏一种整体方法,无法涵盖单个决策过程中影响最大的因素。这项研究旨在了解这些因素是什么,它们如何相互关联以及在个人对风险的感知和接受方面的行为。为此,我们进行了全面的文献回顾,涵盖了过去十年中有关这些事件因素如何影响决策过程中暴露于火山事件的社区对风险的感知和接受的理解。我们的研究能够检测到已识别的变量在此过程中如何相互影响。我们分析了文献中发现的不同研究案例,此外,作为进一步的研究,我们提出了一种与动态系统下的决策建模过程相关的新理论方法,这将对风险管理有所帮助。

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