GENETIC PROGERAMMING AND ITS APPLICATION IN REAL-TIME RUNOFF FORECASTING

摘要

Genetic programming(GP), a relatively new evolu- tionary technique, is demonstrated in this study to evolve codes for the solution of problems. First, a simples examplein the area of symbolic regression is considered. GP is then applied to real-time runoff forecasting for the Orgeval catchment in France. In this study, GP functions as an error updating scheme to complement a rainfall-runoff model, MIKE11/NAM. Hourly runoff forecasts of dif- ferent updating intervals are performed for forecast horizons of up to nine hours.