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International ecotourism and economic development in Central America and the Caribbean

机译:中美洲和加勒比地区的国际生态旅游与经济发展

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摘要

Using annual data for the period 1995-2012 for seven Central American and Caribbean countries, six different open-economy growth models that allow for international (eco-) tourism are estimated using panel-data techniques. Two main results of the investigation are that international tourist arrivals per capita have a highly significant impact on real GDP per capita, and also that five different sustainability indicators interacted with international tourism have a positive impact on economic development. Furthermore, quantile regression shows that lower and medium income deciles of the population in particular benefit from international (eco-) tourism. The results are complemented by very similar findings for a set of 12 Central American and Caribbean countries using only two sustainability indicators, thus corroborating the validity of the specification. In addition, control variables are also generally significant and they feature the algebraic signs expected from economic theory.
机译:利用中美洲和加勒比七个国家1995-2012年的年度数据,使用面板数据技术估算了六种允许国际(生态)旅游的不同开放经济增长模型。调查的两个主要结果是,人均国际游客人数对实际人均国内生产总值有非常重要的影响,而且与国际旅游业相互作用的五个不同的可持续性指标也对经济发展产生积极影响。此外,分位数回归显示,人口的中低收入十分位数特别受益于国际(生态)旅游。对于仅使用两个可持续性指标的一组12个中美洲和加勒比国家,结果也得到了非常相似的发现,从而证实了该规范的有效性。此外,控制变量通常也很重要,并且具有经济理论所期望的代数符号。

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