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Indirect estimation of randomized generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models

机译:随机化广义自回归条件异方差模型的间接估计

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The class of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) models can be used to describe the volatility with less parameters than autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (ARCH)-type models, their distributions are heavy-tailed, with time-dependent conditional variance, and are able to model clustering of volatility. Despite all these facts, the way that GARCH models are built imposes limits on the heaviness of the tails of their unconditional distribution. The class of randomized generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (R-GARCH) models includes the ARCH and GARCH models allowing the use of stable innovations. Estimation methods and empirical analysis of R-GARCH models are the focus of this work. We present the indirect inference method to estimate the R-GARCH models, some simulations and an empirical application.
机译:广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)模型的类别可用于描述比自回归条件异方差(ARCH)型模型少的参数的波动率,它们的分布是重尾的,具有随时间变化的条件方差,并且能够波动率的模型聚类。尽管有所有这些事实,但GARCH模型的构建方式对其无条件分布的尾部的沉重程度施加了限制。随机广义广义自回归条件异方差(R-GARCH)模型的类别包括允许使用稳定创新的ARCH和GARCH模型。 R-GARCH模型的估计方法和经验分析是这项工作的重点。我们提出了一种间接推理方法来估计R-GARCH模型,一些仿真和经验应用。

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