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Is There Volatility Convergence in Asia-Pacific Securitized Real Estate Markets?

机译:亚太证券化房地产市场是否存在波动收敛?

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摘要

We assess whether a group of eight Asia-Pacific securitized real estate markets display similar volatility trend over the past 15 years, 1995–2009, using an econometric model that incorporates common volatility effects across the sample markets. The empirical results indicate the presence of at least one common variance component, and thus partial volatility convergence, among the sample Asia real estate securities markets. During the global financial crisis period, some real estate securities markets are co-integrated in both their first and second moments and demonstrate partial price and volatility convergence. Our analysis that focuses in capturing the common roots in the second moment whilst accounting for time-varying variance has important implications for international real estate portfolio investment.
机译:我们使用计量经济学模型来评估一组八个亚太证券化房地产市场在1995年至2009年的过去15年中是否显示出类似的波动趋势,该模型结合了整个样本市场的常见波动性影响。实证结果表明,在样本亚洲房地产证券市场中,至少存在一个共同方差成分,因此存在部分波动性趋同。在全球金融危机期间,一些房地产证券市场在其第一和第二时刻即被整合,并表现出部分价格和波动性趋同。我们的分析着重于捕捉第二时刻的共同根源,同时考虑到随时间变化的方差,这对国际房地产投资组合具有重要意义。

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