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Asymmetries in the African financial markets

机译:非洲金融市场的不对称

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摘要

We investigate the asymmetries in the African financial markets; both stock and exchanges markets, namely Botswana, Egypt, Kenya, Mauritius and South Africa. The dataset begins on January 1, 2001 and ends on January 20, 2018, for a total of 4479 trading days. We apply an asymmetric threshold approach with an error-correction model with four dummy variables for both positiveegative and small/large news. Our findings reveal that the foreign exchange markets in Africa are statistically more prone to larger-scale news. We also found a direct reaction to short-term positiveegative stock market news after the global financial crisis. Furthermore, we investigate the total effects of South African economic news releases with an Asymmetric Power Arch model. Our findings suggest substantial discrepancy, which belong to the Southern African Development Community and Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa free trade area. SADC stock markets are strongly affected by the economic news releases from South Africa.
机译:我们调查了非洲金融市场的不对称性;股票市场和交易所市场,即博茨瓦纳,埃及,肯尼亚,毛里求斯和南非。数据集从2001年1月1日开始,到2018年1月20日结束,总共4479个交易日。我们将非对称阈值方法与带有四个伪变量的错误校正模型一起应用于正/负和小/大新闻。我们的发现表明,从统计上看,非洲的外汇市场更倾向于大规模新闻。在全球金融危机之后,我们还发现对短期正面/负面股市消息有直接反应。此外,我们使用非对称幂拱模型调查了南非经济新闻稿的整体影响。我们的发现表明存在重大差异,这属于南部非洲发展共同体和东部和南部非洲自由贸易区的共同市场。南部非洲发展共同体的股票市场受到南非经济新闻的强烈影响。

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