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Reliability bound based on the maximum entropy principle with respect to the first truncated moment

机译:基于最大熵原理的相对于第一截断矩的可靠性界限

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摘要

Various reliability methods have been suggested in the literature, but the bound of an estimated reliability has received less attention. The maximum entropy principle is used to obtain the reliability bound with respect to the first moment truncated for the first time. Compared to the previous methods of probability bounding based on given moments, our method is demonstrated to generate a tight upper bound that is practically useful for engineering applications. Numerical examples have shown that a good upper bound of probability of failure is well obtained up to four given moments, but with more moments a divergence problem can occur.
机译:文献中已经提出了各种可靠性方法,但是估计可靠性的界限受到的关注较少。最大熵原理用于获得关于第一次被截断的第一矩的可靠性界限。与以前基于给定矩的概率边界方法相比,我们的方法被证明可以生成一个紧密的上限,该上限对于工程应用非常有用。数值例子表明,在四个给定的时刻都可以很好地获得故障概率的上限,但随着时刻的增加,会出现发散问题。

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