Asymmetrical Common-Cause Failures Analysis Method Applied in Fusion Reactors

摘要

Fusion reactors like the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) are generally complex systems, which demand reliability analysis. Common-Cause Failures (CCF) are increasingly important in the reliability analysis of these systems because of the widespread redundancy or similar components in them. However, despite the wide research in CCF, there has been little research on the handling of asymmetries of CCF that is inevitable in ITER. A concept of Multi-Common-Cause Failures (MCCF) and its key assumptions are discussed in this paper. On the basis of MCCF and the assumptions, a transition method named Common-Cause Breakdown Structure (CCBS) was designed to manage the asymmetrical CCF. The CCBS method can be easily applied to most fault tree analysis codes because the CCF treated by CCBS can be handled by traditional CCF models. A redundant system example was modeled and calculated in the reliability and probabilistic safety analysis program RiskA developed by FDS Team. The analysis results for water pumps redundant system applied in Tokamak cooling water system show that CCBS method is adequate and effective.