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Comments on Ferreira and Moro (2011) 'Constructing genuine savings indicators for Ireland, 1995-2005'

机译:关于Ferreira和Moro(2011)“为爱尔兰构建真正的储蓄指标,1995-2005”的评论

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摘要

Ferreira and Moro's article is an important attempt to improve and expand the 'rough' World Bank genuine savings estimates of Ireland, based upon available official statistical sources of Ireland. Their main findings are that Irish genuine savings estimates are smaller than the Bank's estimates and - this may come as a surprise - even negative for a number of years. These results are primarily driven by their much larger estimates of environmental degradation. Unfortunately, when going over their calculations, I have come to doubt the main outcomes of their study due to two issues: CO_2 damage values are overestimated by a factor 13 as a mistake is made in converting damage costs expressed in dollars per ton carbon towards dollars per ton CO_2. Second, the implied average SO_2 damage values per ton that they use are much higher than found in the literature.
机译:费雷拉和莫罗(Ferreira and Moro)的文章是根据爱尔兰的官方统计数据来改善和扩大世界银行对爱尔兰“真实”储蓄的粗略尝试的重要尝试。他们的主要发现是,爱尔兰的真实储蓄估计值比世界银行的估计值要小,而且-可能令人惊讶-多年来甚至为负数。这些结果主要是由于他们对环境退化的估计更大。不幸的是,在进行计算时,由于两个问题,我开始怀疑其研究的主要结果:CO_2损害值被高估了13倍,因为将以美元/吨碳表示的损害成本转换为美元时犯了错误。每吨CO_2。其次,它们使用的每吨隐含的平均SO_2破坏值远高于文献中的发现。

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