The Modeling of Weather Conditions and Wind Power in Cities of Western Black Sea Region by Using Linear Regression Method

摘要

In this study, weather condition data such as the monthly average temperature, relative moisture, wind speed, pressure and the calculated wind power values of Zonguldak, Sinop, Duezce, Bartun, Kastamonu, Bolu and Karabuek cities located in western Black Sea region were examined for 10 year period (2001-2011). In the modeling of the weather conditions, linear regression analysis was used and the effect of temperature, relative moisture and pressure on wind speed was researched by non-linear regression method. Besides, in this study, the effect of roughness coefficient in cities of western Black Sea region was also taken into consideration and the wind power potentials in 10 m, 25 m and 50 m altitude were researched in detail with the help of WASP (Wind Atlas Analysis and Application) program, In the light of the values obtained by developed models and weather condition data, it was observed that some cities in the western Black Sea region have wind power potential with their effects on environment and energy.