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Can the West Save Africa?

机译:西方可以拯救非洲吗?

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In the new millennium, the Western aid effort toward Africa has surged due to writings by well-known economists, a celebrity mass advocacy campaign, and decisions by Western leaders to make Africa a major foreign policy priority. This survey contrasts the predominant "transformational" approach (West comprehensively saves Africa) to occasional swings to a "marginal" approach (West takes one small step at a time to help individual Africans). Evaluation of "one step at a time" initiatives is generally easier than that of transformational ones either through controlled experiments (although these have been oversold) or simple case studies where it is easier to attribute outcomes to actions. We see two themes emerge from the literature survey: (1) escalation-as each successive Western transformational effort has yielded disappointing results (as judged at least by stylized facts, since again the econometrics are shaky), the response has been to try an even more ambitious effort and (2) the cycle of ideas-rather than a progressive testing and discarding of failed ideas, we see a cycle in aid ideas in many areas in Africa, with ideas going out of fashion only to come back again later after some lapse long enough to forget the previous disappointing experience. Both escalation and cyclicality of ideas are symptomatic of the lack of learning that seems to be characteristic of the "transformational" approach. In contrast, the "marginal" approach has had some successes in improving the well-being of individual Africans, such as the dramatic fall in mortality.
机译:在新的千年中,由于对著名经济学家的著作,名人的大规模倡导运动以及西方领导人决定将非洲作为主要的外交政策重点,西方对非洲的援助工作激增。这项调查将主要的“转型”方法(西方全面拯救非洲)与偶尔的“边际”方法(西方一次为帮助单个非洲人迈出的一小步)进行了对比。通过控制实验(尽管这些已经被超卖)或简单的案例研究(相对容易将结果归因于行动)而言,对“一次一步”计划的评估通常比对转型计划的评估要容易。我们从文献调查中看到了两个主题:(1)升级-每次西方连续的转型努力都产生令人失望的结果(至少根据风格化事实判断,因为计量经济学再次不稳定),因此,人们的反应是尝试(2)想法的循环,而不是逐步的测试和丢弃失败的想法,我们看到了非洲许多地区援助思想的循环,想法已经过时,后来又经过一段时间后再次出现流逝的时间足以忘记以前令人失望的经历。观念的升级和周期性都是缺乏学习的症状,这似乎是“转型”方法的特征。相比之下,“边际”方法在改善单个非洲人的福祉方面取得了一些成功,例如死亡率急剧下降。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of Economic Literature》 |2009年第2期|373-447|共75页
  • 作者

    William Easterly;

  • 作者单位

    New York University and NBER;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 23:33:06

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