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Cooperative econometric model for regional air pollution control with the additional goal of promoting employment

机译:以促进就业为目标的区域计量空气污染合作经济计量模型

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摘要

Air pollution has become the focus of attention in many countries around the world. In recent years, China has issued a series of strict air pollution control policies. However, these policies have led to many negative externalities, including adverse effects on employment. With the goal of promoting employment, the present study proposed a cooperative econometric model of regional air pollution control. First, a bi-objective optimization model was built to maximize regional employment and minimize regional control costs. Next, to promote cooperative pollution control among the provinces in the study region, the minimum cost-remaining savings method was applied to build a regional cooperation model for benefit allocation. To illustrate the model, it was applied to SO2 pollution control in China's Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as an empirical example based on data from 2015. Compared with the current system (separate control of air pollution), the cooperative econometric model of regional air pollution increased employment by 1.339 x 10(6) persons (by 3.1%). At the same time, the total comprehensive control cost for air pollution decreased by US$23.73 x 10(6), thereby decreasing the comprehensive cost of pollution control by 9.6%. Through the benefit allocation model, the comprehensive control cost savings were US$11.88 x 10(6) for Beijing, US$10.14 x 10(6) for Tianjin, and US$1.71 x 10(6) for Hebei. Sensitivity analysis was performed to validate the cooperative econometric model. This demonstrated that the model was effective, stable, and practical. The present results can therefore provide an important reference to support regional decision-making, while promoting cooperation and win-win for participants. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:空气污染已成为世界许多国家关注的焦点。近年来,中国发布了一系列严格的空气污染控制政策。但是,这些政策导致了许多负面外部影响,包括对就业的不利影响。为了促进就业,本研究提出了一种区域空气污染控制的合作计量经济模型。首先,建立了一个双目标优化模型以最大化区域就业并最小化区域控制成本。接下来,为了促进研究区域内各省之间的合作性污染控制,采用了剩余成本最小节省法来建立区域利益分配合作模型。为了说明该模型,该模型以2015年的数据为例,被应用于中国京津冀地区的SO2污染控制。与当前系统(空气污染的单独控制)相比,区域空气协同计量经济学模型污染使就业增加了1.339 x 10(6)人(增加了3.1%)。同时,空气污染综合控制总成本减少了23.73美元x 10(6),从而使污染综合控制成本降低了9.6%。通过利益分配模型,北京的综合控制成本节省为11.88美元x 10(6),天津为10.14 x 10(6)美元,河北为1.71 x 10(6)美元。进行敏感性分析以验证合作计量经济模型。这表明该模型是有效,稳定和实用的。因此,目前的结果可为支持区域决策,促进参与者的合作与双赢提供重要参考。 (C)2019 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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