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Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Moment Estimation

机译:高斯过程和贝叶斯时刻估计

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Given a set of moment restrictions (MRs) that overidentify a parameter theta, we investigate a semiparametric Bayesian approach for inference on theta that does not restrict the data distribution F apart from the MRs. As main contribution, we construct a degenerate Gaussian process prior that, conditionally on theta, restricts the F generated by this prior to satisfy the MRs with probability one. Our prior works even in the more involved case where the number of MRs is larger than the dimension of theta. We demonstrate that the corresponding posterior for theta is computationally convenient. Moreover, we show that there exists a link between our procedure, the generalized empirical likelihood with quadratic criterion and the limited information likelihood-based procedures. We provide a frequentist validation of our procedure by showing consistency and asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution of theta. The finite sample properties of our method are illustrated through Monte Carlo experiments and we provide an application to demand estimation in the airline market.
机译:给定一组时刻限制(MRS)过度地达到参数θ,我们调查了一个半游戏贝叶斯方法,用于推断THETA,其不会将数据分配F与MRS分开。作为主要贡献,我们在有条件地在Theta上建立一个简并高斯的过程,限制在满足概率1的概率之前由此产生的F.我们之前的作品即使在越涉及的案例中,MRS的数量大于THET的维度。我们证明了Theta的相应后部是可计算的方便。此外,我们表明,我们的程序之间存在链接,具有二次标准的广义经验可能性以及基于似的似然的程序的有限信息。我们通过显示Theta后部分布的一致性和渐近常态来提供频繁的验证我们的程序。我们的方法的有限样本性质通过Monte Carlo实验说明,我们提供了在航空市场中需求估算的应用。

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