Notes and correspondence: An Examination of the Uncertainty in Interpolated Winds and Its Effect on the Validation and intercomparison of Forecast Models

摘要

Meteorological models need to be compared to long-term, routinely collected meteorological data. Whenever numerical forecast models are validated and compared, verification winds are normally interpolated to individual model grid points. To be statistically significant, differences between model and verification data must exceed the uncertainty of verification winds due to instrument error, sampling, and interpolation. This paper will describe an approach to examine the uncertainty of interpolated boundary layer winds and illustrate its practical effects on model validation and intercomparison efforts.