首页> 外文期刊>Journal of atmospheric and oceanic technology >Identifying Doppler Velocity Contamination Caused by Migrating Birds. Part Ⅱ: Bayes Identification and Probability Tests
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Identifying Doppler Velocity Contamination Caused by Migrating Birds. Part Ⅱ: Bayes Identification and Probability Tests

机译:识别由鸟类迁徙引起的多普勒速度污染。第二部分:贝叶斯辨识与概率检验

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摘要

Based on the Bayesian statistical decision theory, a probabilistic quality control (QC) technique is developed to identify and flag migrating-bird-contaminated sweeps of level Ⅱ velocity scans at the lowest elevation angle using the QC parameters presented in Part Ⅰ. The QC technique can use either each single QC parameter or all three in combination. The single-parameter QC technique is shown to be useful for evaluating the effectiveness of each QC parameter based on the smallness of the tested percentages of wrong decision by using the ground truth information (if available) or based on the smallness of the estimated probabilities of wrong decision (if there is no ground truth information). The multiparameter QC technique is demonstrated to be much better than any of the three single-parameter QC techniques, as indicated by the very small value of the tested percentages of wrong decision for no-flag decisions (not contaminated by migrating birds). Since the averages of the estimated probabilities of wrong decision are quite close to the tested percentages of wrong decision, they can provide useful information about the probability of wrong decision when the multiparameter QC technique is used for real applications (with no ground truth information).
机译:基于贝叶斯统计决策理论,开发了一种概率质量控制(QC)技术,该技术使用第一部分中介绍的QC参数在最低仰角处识别和标记受bird鸟污染的Ⅱ级速度扫描扫描。 QC技术可以使用每个单个QC参数,也可以全部使用三个参数。事实证明,单参数质控技术可用于通过使用地面真实信息(如果有),基于错误判定的测试百分比的较小性,或基于估计的概率的较小性,来评估每个质量控制参数的有效性。错误的决定(如果没有地面真相信息)。事实证明,多参数QC技术比三种单参数QC技术中的任何一种都要好得多,这是由无旗决策(不受迁徙禽类污染)的错误决策测试百分比的极小值所表明的。由于估计的错误决策概率的平均值非常接近错误决策的测试百分比,因此当多参数QC技术用于实际应用时,它们可以提供有关错误决策概率的有用信息(不提供基本事实信息)。

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