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Socially Responsible Investment And Macroeconomic Stability In South Africa: An Application Of Vector Error Correction Model

机译:南非的社会责任投资与宏观经济稳定:矢量误差校正模型的应用

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摘要

The study reported in this article investigated the relationship between the Social Responsible Investment (SRI) sector and macroeconomic stability in South Africa. Johansen co-integration approach and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) were employed to test the relationship between SRI Index and a set of macroeconomic stability variables (inflation, real exchange rate, interest rates and money supply). Secondary data for the period April 2004 to December 2012 was analysed. There was a long-run association between all the variables during the period under consideration. However, the inflation rate, real effective exchange rate and money supply were not significant in predicting short-run changes in the SRI Index. A significant short-run relationship between SRI Index and the difference between long term and short-term interest rates (term structure) was observed. Macroeconomic variables are significant in explaining the behavior of the South African SRI sector in the long-run.
机译:本文报道的研究调查了南非的社会责任投资(SRI)部门与宏观经济稳定性之间的关系。 Johansen协整方法和矢量误差校正模型(VECM)用于检验SRI指数与一系列宏观经济稳定变量(通货膨胀,实际汇率,利率和货币供应量)之间的关系。分析了2004年4月至2012年12月的二级数据。在审议期间,所有变量之间存在长期关联。但是,通货膨胀率,实际有效汇率和货币供应量对预测SRI指数的短期变化并不重要。观察到SRI指数与长期和短期利率(期限结构)之间的差异具有显着的短期关系。长期来看,宏观经济变量对于解释南非SRI部门的行为具有重要意义。

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