Assessing the Indirect Economic Losses of Sea Ice Disasters: An Adaptive Regional Input-Output Modeling Approach

摘要

Disaster losses estimates are helpful for arranging disaster relief and postdisaster reconstruction. However, most of the previous analysis of sea ice disasters focus on direct losses, whereas very few studies evaluate the indirect economic losses. To fill this research gap, this study provides an assessment of the indirect economic losses caused by the sea ice disaster in Liaoning Province in China using an adaptive regional input-output (ARIO) model. The results show that indirect economic losses were 885 million yuan, which account for 25.3% of the direct economic losses. In particular, the impacts were found to be severe in the following sectors: agriculture, food manufacturing, chemical industry, catering industry, machinery and equipment manufacturing, and transportation and post industry.