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EOKA Intelligence and Counterintelligence

机译:EOKA情报与反情报

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摘要

Starting an insurgency is extremely risky because, in the process of "rising up," the status quo is contested and the state's legitimacy to wield power is directly challenged, often violently, thereby further increasing the risk and the stakes of failure. An insurgency is also risky because it usually begins from a position of relative weakness. Insurgencies almost always start as a small movement with limited resources, while the state is usually well-organized with a Weberian monopoly on the legitimate use of force through a vast security and military apparatus. As such, the task before an insurgent individual or group is immense, the risks are many, and the likelihood of victory is low. Therefore, mitigating the risk in "rising up" is vitally important for any insurgency to succeed.
机译:开展叛乱活动具有极大的风险,因为在“崛起”过程中,人们对现状持怀疑态度,而国家对行使权力的合法性则经常提出猛烈的挑战,从而进一步增加了风险和失败风险。叛乱也有风险,因为它通常从相对弱势的位置开始。叛乱几乎总是始于资源有限的小规模运动,而国家通常组织得很好,韦伯式的垄断是通过庞大的安全和军事机构合法使用武力。因此,叛乱分子或个人的任务艰巨,风险很大,获胜的可能性很低。因此,降低“崛起”中的风险对于任何叛乱成功都是至关重要的。

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