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Enhancement of wind energy resources assessment using Multi-Objective Genetic algorithm: A case study at Gabal Al-Zayt wind farm in Egypt

机译:利用多目标遗传算法提高风能资源评估 - 以埃及Gabal Al-Zayt风电场为例

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摘要

Estimation of wind speed distribution is essential for wind energy resources assessment, design of wind farms, and selection of suitable wind turbines. Two-parameter Weibull distribution function is widely used worldwide for wind energy resources assessment. As a case study, 1one-year field measurements at Gabal Al-Zayt wind farm in Egypt are used to estimate the Weibull parameters and to accurately assess the wind energy resource. In this work, seven statistical methods are adopted to estimate the Weibull parameters and their estimation accuracy is compared based on some common estimation errors. However, the improvement in one estimation error does not necessarily improve other types of errors. Consequently, a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA) is adopted to investigate the tradeoffs among the competing estimation errors and to enhance the assessment of wind energy resources. The results show significant improvement in the estimation accuracy of the Weibull parameters using MOGA as compared to conventional statistical estimation methods. On the other hand, the case study at Gabal Al-Zayt wind farm reveals that the selection of wind turbines does not depend only on wind characteristics of the site but also on its environmental characteristics.
机译:风速分布估计对于风能资源评估,风电场设计以及合适的风力涡轮机的选择是必不可少的。两个参数Weibull分配功能广泛用于风能资源评估。作为一个案例研究,埃及Gabal Al-Zayt风电场的1个月田间测量用于估计Weibull参数,并准确地评估风能资源。在这项工作中,采用了七种统计方法来估计Weibull参数,并基于一些常见估计错误进行比较它们的估计精度。但是,一个估计误差的改进不一定改善其他类型的错误。因此,采用多目标遗传算法(MOGA)来研究竞争估计误差的权衡,并加强风能资源的评估。与常规统计估计方法相比,结果显示使用MOGA使用MOGA的估计精度显着提高。另一方面,在Gabal Al-Zayt风电场的案例研究表明,风力涡轮机的选择不仅仅依赖于该地点的风特征,而且依赖于其环境特征。

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