Trade-off approach in power system planning case study: Lebanon

摘要

This paper proposes an approach to power system planning in Lebanon which is constrained by limits on available resources, incomplete information on the nature and distribution of system demand, and uncertainty about future growth. The approach is based on a trade-off method for multiple objective planning under uncertainty where a number of future power supply and demand scenarios at different discount rates are proposed and studied using a production costing program. From these studies, trade-off curves of cost versus unmet energy for electricity supply in Lebanon are determined to provide decision makers with a range of possible generation plans that compromise between cost and unmet energy.