The reliability investigation considering data uncertainty;an application of Fuzzy Transformation Method in substation protection

摘要

This paper sheds new lights on data uncertainty in fuzzy reliability computations to achieve the best possible accuracy using minimum data. To the best of our knowledge, there are major drawbacks to implement Conventional Fuzzy Arithmetic (CFA): catastrophic overestimation, non-applicability to real-world systems and complex computations based on impractical optimizations. A novel approach namely Fuzzy Transformation Method (FTM) has recently been put forward that eliminates the core problems of CFA. The present paper aims to validate the applicability of FTM to the reliability issues. Few researchers have addressed the issues of both symmetric and asymmetric uncertainty distributions in Fuzzy Failure Rates and how a fuzzy result can profoundly come under the influence of them. Hence, a comprehensive investigation is launched to evaluate the uncertainties and some beneficial observations are provided as well as sensitivity analysis and component importance measure in fuzzy frameworks. An interesting correlation between the component importance and input-output uncertainties is observed. Additionally, pictorial representations, results and remarks are numerically discussed. We opted for All-Digital Protection Systems (ADPSs) due to novelty of them and their impacts on substation reliability. Until now, there has not been provided a fuzzy perspective concerning reliability of ADPSs.