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Population ageing: opportunitiesand challenges for retail banking

机译:人口老龄化:零售银行业的机遇与挑战

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摘要

Purpose - This paper seeks to shed light on the challenges and opportunities demographic transitions bring about to the banking sector. Increasing life expectancy, coupled with an increasing old age dependency ratio has implications for the demand for financial services. This opens a window of opportunity for the banking sector to adjust its services so as to meet these changes and reap the benefit of demographic changes. Design/methodology/approach - The paper uses demographic forecasts made by the United Nations Population Division, to which are applied established economic models on life cycle behaviour. Based on the findings, light is shed on potential scenarios that banks may encounter. Findings - The life cycle models predict a higher overall asset accumulation level and a higher savings level, at least initially, in an ageing population. Other life cycle behaviour models point out that individuals' risk aversion increases with age, while evidence shows that population ageing exposes individuals to greater risks. This increases the need for households to appropriately diversify and manage the risks they face, and encourages the development of products that are better tailored to these growing needs. Originality/value - The paper proposes that banks can contribute to creating financial stability. Banks can participate in financial education and consequently increase households' motivation to save more and in better ways. Consumer demand encountered by banks is shifting from credit products to savings products. The investment packages currently offered by banks need to adapt to changing needs: combined annuitv and life insurance packages are one option.
机译:目的-本文旨在阐明人口转变给银行业带来的挑战和机遇。预期寿命的增加,以及老年抚养比的增加,对金融服务的需求产生了影响。这为银行业调整服务提供了机会,以适应这些变化并从人口变化中获得收益。设计/方法/方法-本文使用联合国人口司的人口预测,并将其应用于生命周期行为的既定经济模型。根据调查结果,揭示了银行可能遇到的潜在情况。调查结果-生命周期模型预测,至少在初期,老龄化人口的总资产积累水平更高,储蓄水平更高。其他生命周期行为模型指出,个体的风险规避随着年龄增长而增加,而证据表明,人口老龄化使个体面临更大的风险。这增加了家庭适当分散和管理其面临的风险的需求,并鼓励开发更适合这些不断增长的需求的产品。原创性/价值-本文提出银行可以为建立金融稳定做出贡献。银行可以参加金融教育,从而提高家庭储蓄的动机,以更好的方式储蓄更多。银行遇到的消费者需求正从信贷产品转向储蓄产品。银行目前提供的投资方案需要适应不断变化的需求:年金和人寿保险相结合是一种选择。

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