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Calculating mean system-failure frequency with prescribed accuracy

机译:以规定的精度计算平均系统故障频率

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To calculate mean system-failure frequency (MSFF) for good engineering designs, an approximation with prescribed accuracy is possible, starting from mincuts, viz, from a sum-of-products form of the fault-tree Boolean-function. Bonferroni-type inequalities, for which a new proof is included, are used. There is a far-reaching similarity between certain kinds of bounds for MSFF (of coherent systems) and for system unavailability. However, this similarity Is not complete. For most real systems, omitting the less-important mincuts yields lower bounds not only for unavailability but also for MSFF. Because an equivalent of the first Bonferroni inequality also holds with MSFF, it is possible to determine an upper bound of the contribution of the deleted mincuts or, the other way around: given a maximum error, determine a set of less-important mincuts, which can be deleted prior to a standard (exact) analysis of the rest. Since 1977 there is a valuable insight that Bonferroni-type inequalities hold also for MSFF (and since 1995 for mean electronic-system life). However, if the difference between the first upper and lower bounds is not small enough, then the investigation of further bounds might be rather cumbersome. However, there is a straight-forward mincut-based approximation to MSFF. As for approximate values of system mean time to failure (MTTF) and mean time to repair (MTTR), upper and lower bounds can be readily found via MSFF=unavailability/MTTR=availability/MTTF using upper and lower bounds for unavailability and MSFF in an obvious way. Of course, these bounds might not be sufficiently tight initially.
机译:为了计算出良好工程设计的平均系统故障频率(MSFF),可以从故障树布尔函数的乘积和形式开始,以最小精度开始,以规定的精度进行近似计算。使用Bonferroni型不等式,其中包括一个新的证明。对于(相干系统的)MSFF和系统不可用性,某些类型的界限之间存在深远的相似性。但是,这种相似性并不完整。对于大多数实际系统,省略不那么重要的mincut不仅会导致不可用,而且会导致MSFF的下界。因为第一个Bonferroni不等式也适用于MSFF,所以可以确定已删除的减法的贡献的上限,或者相反:给定最大误差,确定一组次要的减法,可以在其余的标准(精确)分析之前删除。自1977年以来,就有一个宝贵的见解,即邦弗罗尼型不等式也适用于MSFF(自1995年以来,平均电子系统寿命也是如此)。但是,如果第一个上限和下限之间的差异不够小,那么对下一个界限的研究可能会很麻烦。但是,有一个直接的基于mincut的MSFF近似值。至于系统平均故障时间(MTTF)和平均修复时间(MTTR)的近似值,可以使用MSFF = unavailability / MTTR = availability / MTTF,使用上下限分别确定不可用和MSFF,从而轻松找到上限和下限。一种明显的方式。当然,这些界限一开始可能不够紧。

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