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Strategic forward contracting in electricity markets: modelling and analysis by equilibrium method

机译:电力市场中的战略远期合同:平衡法建模与分析

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摘要

Contractual arrangement plays an important role in mitigating market power in electricity markets. The issue of whether rational generators would voluntarily enter contract markets through a strategic incentive is examined, and the factors which could affect this strategic contracting behaviour. A two-stage game model is presented to formulate the competition of generators in bid-based pool spot markets and contract markets, as well as the interaction between these two markets. The affine supply function equilibrium (SFE) method is used to model competitive bidding for the spot market, while the contract market is modelled with the general conjectural variation method. The proposed methodology allows asymmetric, multiple strategic generators having capacity constraints and affine marginal costs with non-zero intercepts to be taken into account. It is shown that the presence of forward contract markets will complicate the solution to the affine SFE, and a new methodology is developed in this regard. Strategic contracting behaviours are analysed in the context of asymmetric, multiple strategic generators. A numerical example is used to verify theoretical results. It is shown that the observability of contract markets plays an important role in fostering generators' strategic contracting incentive, and that this contracting behaviour could also be affected by generators' cost parameters and demand elasticity.
机译:合同安排在缓解电力市场中的市场力量方面发挥着重要作用。研究了理性的产生者是否会通过战略激励自愿进入合同市场的问题,并探讨了可能影响这一战略合同行为的因素。提出了一个两阶段博弈模型,以制定基于竞标的池现货市场和合同市场中发电商的竞争以及这两个市场之间的相互作用。仿射供应函数均衡(SFE)方法用于为现货市场竞争性竞标建模,而合同市场则采用一般的猜想变化法建模。所提出的方法允许考虑具有容量限制和具有非零截距的仿射边际成本的不对称的多个策略生成器。结果表明,远期合约市场的存在将使仿射SFE的解决方案复杂化,并为此开发了一种新的方法。在非对称,多个战略生成器的背景下分析战略合同行为。数值例子验证了理论结果。研究表明,合同市场的可观察性在促进发电者的战略合同激励中起着重要作用,而这种契约行为也可能受到发电者的成本参数和需求弹性的影响。

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