Resilience-based tri-level framework for simultaneous transmission and substation expansion planning considering extreme weather-related events

摘要

In this study, a new resilience-based framework is presented for multi-period simultaneous transmission and substation expansion planning (ST&SEP) considering extreme weather-related events (EWEs). The formation of the proposed planning framework falls into a tri-level optimisation problem with the aim of strengthening power network resilience in response to the EWEs. In the lower-level problem, short-term remedial corrective strategies of the independent system operator (ISO) after the EWEs are determined by applying network reconfiguration and generation redispatch. In the intermediate-level problem, an enhanced scenario-building approach is developed to model and analyse the EWEs, as non-random uncertain events, and their subsequent detrimental effects using the notion of the fragility curves corresponding to power network components. In the upper-level problem, however, long-term remedial preventive strategies of the ISO, as network planner, after the EWEs are obtained through integrated decisions between multi-period ST&SEP and transmission switching equipment planning. The newly proposed planning framework is formulated as a large-scale mixed-integer non-linear tri-level optimisation problem and is solved by a powerful symphony orchestra search algorithm in order to obtain the final optimal solution. The proposed planning framework is examined on the real-world large-scale Iranian 400-kV power transmission network and its profitableness is assured by thorough simulation studies.