Deriving Emission Factors and Estimating Direct Nitrous Oxide Emissions for Crop Cultivation in China

摘要

Updating and refining the N2O emission factors (N2O-EFs) are vital to reduce the uncertainty in estimates of direct N2O emissions. Based on a database with 1151 field measurements across China, the N2O-EFs were established via three approaches including the maximum likelihood method, a linear regression with an intercept and a linear regression with the intercept set to 0 using 70% of the observations. The remaining 30% of the observations were then used to evaluate the predicted N2O-EFs. The third method had the highest R-2 of 0.39 and the best model efficiency of 0.38 with no significant bias, showing the best calculation efficiency. The results showed that the N2O-EFs varied with agroregions, crops, and management patterns. The agroregions of Huang-Huai-Hai and Yangtze River had the higher N2O-EFs in maize and wheat seasons than other regions, and the highest N2O-EFs of 0.66-0.92% in the rice season was found in the South and Southwest agroregions. Both fertilizer types and water regimes had the remarkable effects on N2O-EFs. Based on the best estimation by the selected method, direct N2O emissions from China's crop cultivation were estimated to be 194 Gg N2O-N with a 95% confidence interval of 180-208 Gg N2O-N in the year 2016.