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Urbanization and the Consumption of Fossil Energy Sources in the Emerging Southeast Asian Countries

机译:城市化与化石能源消费在新兴东南亚国家

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摘要

Fossil energy consumption is considered a source of environmental degradation. While the demand for fossil energy increases during the process of urbanization, different nations rely upon different sources of fossil energy. As such, a one-size-fits-all approach in reducing the consumption of fossil fuels to improve the quality of the environment is neither logical, nor practical. This study investigates the short-term and long-term effects of urbanization in relation to fossil energy consumption from coal, gas and oil. The auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) is employed on the sample of five emerging ASEAN nations in the 1985–2018 period. The findings reveal that that urbanization in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand appears to be associated with an increase in coal consumption in the short run. In Vietnam, gas consumption will increase with urbanization. However, in the long run, urbanization in Thailand and Vietnam is linked to an increase in oil consumption. Urbanization in Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines leads to the reduction of coal consumption in the long run. Policy implications have emerged based on the findings of this study.
机译:化石能源消耗被认为是环境退化的源泉。虽然在城市化过程中对化石能源的需求增加,但不同的国家依赖于化石能源的不同来源。因此,一种单尺寸适合的所有方法在减少化石燃料的消耗以提高环境质量既不是逻辑的,也不实用。本研究调查了城市化与煤炭,天然气和油化石能源消耗的短期和长期影响。自动回归分布式滞后(ARDL)在1985 - 2018年期间的五个新兴东盟的样本上采用。调查结果表明,印度尼西亚和泰国的城市化似乎与短期内的煤炭消费量增加有关。在越南,煤气消耗将随着城市化而增加。然而,从长远来看,泰国和越南的城市化与石油消费的增加有关。在印度尼西亚,马来西亚和菲律宾的城市化导致长期燃煤减少。基于本研究的调查结果,已经出现了政策影响。

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