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It's Back to the Future

机译:回到未来

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Coal-fired power is back in vogue. Liquefied-natural-gas terminals are being proposed and even built again. Petroleum commands a price never before seen. If it weren't for the construction boom in the Canadian oil sands, one observer might think he was in a time warp that has dropped him back in the 1970s. In a broad sense, the wheel has fully turned. Natural-gas prices made a step-increase four years ago, pushing gas over the threshold of about $3 per million Btu at which LNG can compete with native natural gas (see graph p. 29). Owners of the three existing U.S. LNG terminals that had been shut down reopened them and began planning expansions. Others prospected for sites to construct new terminals. Today, about 40 LNG import terminals have been proposed on all coasts of North America. One new one is opening for business this month. As in the 1970s, oil prices again suddenly spiked last year. After bottoming out in 1998 at about $10 per barrel, crude oil stayed in its historic range under $30 until spring 2004, when it began a climb that peaked at $56.18 in October. The electric-generation industry was not much affected by that, having largely weaned itself from oil after the 1973 price shock.
机译:燃煤发电重新流行。液化天然气终端正在提议中,甚至将再次建造。石油的价格是前所未有的。如果不是因为加拿大油砂的建筑繁荣,一位观察家可能会认为他正处在一个时间扭曲中,使他回到了1970年代。从广义上讲,方向盘已完全转动。天然气价格在四年前呈阶梯式增长,使天然气价格超过了每百万英热单位3美元的水平,在此水平上,液化天然气可以与天然天然气竞争(见图29)。已关闭的三个美国现有LNG接收站的所有者将其重新打开,并开始计划扩展。其他人则期望建造新码头的场地。如今,已经在北美所有沿海地区提出了大约40个LNG进口终端。一个新的本月开始营业。与1970年代一样,去年的石油价格再次突然飙升。在1998年触及每桶10美元的底部后,原油一直保持在30美元以下的历史区间内,直到2004年春季才开始攀升,10月曾达到56.18美元的峰值。发电行业受到的影响不大,在1973年的价格冲击后,石油行业已经很大程度上摆脱了石油的依赖。

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