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Risk-adjusted discount rates and the present value of risky nonconventional projects

机译:风险调整后的折扣率和风险非共选项目的现值

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摘要

An appropriate risk adjustment technique applied to discount rate for evaluating stochastic negative cash flows is discussed. The proposed approach considers a future cash flow as a response to an investment or a borrowing rather than an independent cash flow. As discount rates applied to evaluate investments and borrowings have different meanings, the generalized net present value method is more appropriate to value cash flows with opposite signs. The given method uses two different rates: the finance rate is applied to discount positive present values (PVs) and the reinvestment rate - to discount negative PVs of a nonconventional project. It is shown that these rates are adjusted for risk relatively to their risk-free values in an opposite way. A universal relationship between risk penalty and risk premium is derived from the assumption that investment and borrowing risks are equal in their value.
机译:讨论了适用于评估随机负现金流量的贴现率的适当风险调整技术。拟议的方法认为将来的现金流量作为对投资或借款而不是独立现金流量的回应。随着折扣率适用于评估投资和借贷具有不同的含义,广义净目前的价值方法更适合于具有相反迹象的现金流量。给定的方法使用两种不同的速率:施加金融率以折扣正值(PVS)和再投资率 - 以折现非共等项目的负PV。结果表明,这些速率以相对的方式对其无风险值进行了风险。风险惩罚与风险溢价之间的普遍关系来自于投资和借贷风险在其价值方面相等的假设。

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