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Impact of urbanization on energy demand: An empirical study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in China

机译:城市化对能源需求的影响:中国长江经济带的实证研究

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This paper provides an empirical assessment of the effects of China's urbanization on its energy demand for 2003-2014 using a dataset of 108 cities located in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Both demographic urbanization (DU) and land urbanization (LU) are considered in the empirical analysis. The results show that urbanization exerts significant and positive impacts on energy demand during the study period. Our empirical suggest that one unit rises in DU and LU rises the energy demand by 48.85% (91.62%) and 65.54% (68.09%), respectively, without (with) considering control variables. The energy demand effects of urbanization still hold when considering spatial and heterogeneity factors. These results are robust to alternative measures of urbanization and empirical model specifications. Our results indicate that policymakers should improve the quality of urbanization to promote the growth of high-tech and high-quality industries, avoiding excessive energy consumption with extensive urbanization. Large cities should not be allowed to grow unchecked. More attention should be paid to promote the development of medium-sized cities and implement a balanced population distribution among different cities. The energy demand structure (industrial and residential; primary and secondary; renewable and nonrenewable) should be optimized by introducing cleaner/low-carbon technology and its transformation.
机译:本文利用位于长江经济带的108个城市的数据集,对中国城市化对2003 - 2014的能源需求的影响进行了实证评估。在实证分析中考虑了人口城市化(DU)和土地城市化(LU)。结果表明,城市化对研究期间的能源需求产生了显着和积极的影响。我们的实证表明,杜和路的一个单位升高了48.85%(91.62%)和65.54%(68.09%)的能源需求,而无需考虑控制变量。在考虑空间和异质性因素时,城市化的能量需求仍然存在。这些结果对于城市化和经验模型规范的替代措施是稳健的。我们的结果表明,政策制定者应提高城市化质量,以促进高科技和高质量行业的增长,避免使用广泛的城市化能耗过度消耗。不应允许大城市不受控制地生长。应更多地关注促进中型城市的发展,并在不同城市实施平衡的人口分布。能源需求结构(工业和住宅;初级和中学;可再生和不可再生)应通过引入清洁/低碳技术及其转型来优化。

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