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Health Effects of Coal: A Long-Run Relationship Assessment of Coal Production and Respiratory Health in Kazakhstan

机译:煤炭的健康影响:哈萨克斯坦煤炭产量与呼吸健康的长期关系评估

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摘要

Respiratory diseases, like asthma and other chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, claim over 50 thousand lives annually in Kazakhstan according to national statistics (The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan, 2011). This study applies econometric methods to examine the relationship between the coal industry and the respiratory health in Kazakhstan during the country's independency period using annual national data. The study investigates long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamics of coal production and respiratory diseases in Kazakhstan by applying the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The empirical results show that the respiratory diseases appear to be elastic relative to the coal production, and the strong long-run and short-run Granger causality running from coal production to respiratory diseases. The presence of causal relationship could be useful to define effective policies to reduce the health effects of coal industry in Kazakhstan.
机译:根据国家统计,呼吸疾病,如哮喘和其他慢性阻塞性肺疾病,每年在哈萨克斯坦夺走5万多条生命(哈萨克斯坦共和国统计局,2011年)。本研究采用计量经济学方法,使用年度国家数据,考察了哈萨克斯坦独立时期煤炭行业与哈萨克斯坦呼吸健康之间的关系。该研究通过应用矢量误差校正模型(VECM)研究了哈萨克斯坦的煤炭生产和呼吸系统疾病的长期均衡和短期动态。实证结果表明,呼吸系统疾病相对于煤炭生产具有弹性,并且从煤炭生产到呼吸系统疾病都有很强的长期和短期格兰杰因果关系。因果关系的存在对于定义减少哈萨克斯坦煤炭工业对健康的影响的有效政策可能是有用的。

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