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Contribution of price/expenditure factors of residential energy consumption in China from 1993 to 2011: A decomposition analysis

机译:1993年至2011年中国居民能源消费价格/支出因子的贡献:分解分析

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Since the establishment of the market economy in 1993, the residential consumption of commodities. including energy, has been highly influenced by prices in China. However, the contribution of the factors related to prices in residential energy consumption is relatively unexplored. This paper extends the KAYA identity with price and expenditure factors and then applies the LMDI method to a decomposition of residential energy consumption in China from 1993 to 2011. Our results show the following: (1) Though the prices of a majority of residential energy sources in China declined, the effect of energy prices restrained residential energy consumption because the expenditure structure changed during the period. (2) During the research period, the urban energy expenditure proportion experienced two progresses of rising and falling, and the rural proportion, which was stable before 2002, sharply increased. (3) The energy consumption intensity effect, which is the negative of the average energy price effect, contributed to most of the decrease in energy consumption, whereas residential income played a key role in the growth of consumption. According to the conclusions, we suggest further marketization and deregulation of energy prices, the promotion of advanced energy types and guidance for better energy consumption patterns. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:自从1993年市场经济建立以来,居民消费商品。包括能源在内,受到中国价格的高度影响。但是,与住宅价格相关的价格因素在住宅能耗中的贡献还相对未知。本文用价格和支出因素扩展了KAYA的身份,然后将LMDI方法应用于中国1993年至2011年的住宅能耗分解。我们的结果表明:(1)尽管大多数住宅能源的价格在中国,能源价格的下降限制了居民的能源消耗,因为该期间的支出结构发生了变化。 (2)在研究期间,城市能源支出比重经历了两个上升和下降的过程,而在2002年之前稳定的农村比重急剧上升。 (3)能源消耗强度效应是平均能源价格效应的负面影响,在很大程度上导致了能源消耗的下降,而居民收入在消费增长中起着关键作用。根据结论,我们建议进一步市场化和放松能源价格管制,促进先进的能源类型,并为更好的能源消耗模式提供指导。 (C)2015 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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