Wind Energy Prediction in Kosovo by WAsP11 software

摘要

By increasing levels of wind power penetration in global electricity production, the relevance of wind power prediction is growing. More accurate forecasts reduce the required total amount of energy reserve capacity needed to ensure grid reliability and the risk of penalty for wind farm operators. This study analyzes the WAsP software WindSimulations, regarding its ability to perform accurate wind power predictions in complex terrain as in this case is. The study site features the combined presence of three complexities: topography, heterogeneous vegetation including forest, and interactions between wind turbine wakes, for all of them. Hence, it allows a comprehensive evaluation of the software. Various turbulence models, forest models, and wake models, as well as the effects of domain size and grid resolution were evaluated against wind and power observations for ten General Electric 3.6MW and General Electric 3.2MW. The country being analysed is in Kosovo, exactly Kitka, on the border with the neighbouring state.