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Historical Determinism

机译:历史决定论

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The idea that climate change will lead to war is often raised by environmental pessimists, and a meeting on the climatic past of South-East Asia, held last month in Dalat, Vietnam, suggests it is not such an unlikely thought. The meeting was organised by the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, part of Columbia University, some of whose researchers have been trying to reconstruct the pattern of South-East Asia's monsoons over the past few centuries. One matter they raised was the possibility that two periods of conflict in the area, in the 15th and 18th centuries, were provoked by droughts.rnHistorical records of the climate in Asia are lamentable outside India, where the weather-obsessed British collected good data during the 19th and 20th centuries. The observatory's researchers had therefore to rely on tree rings.
机译:环境悲观主义者常常提出气候变化将引发战争的想法,上个月在越南大叻举行的关于东南亚气候过去的会议表明,这种想法并非不可能。这次会议是由哥伦比亚大学的Lamont-Doherty地球观测站组织的,在过去的几个世纪中,其中一些研究人员一直在试图重建东南亚季风的模式。他们提出的一件事是,该地区在15和18世纪的两个时期的冲突可能是由于干旱引起的。在印度以外,亚洲气候的历史记录可悲,在印度,天气痴迷的英国人在2002年收集了很好的数据。 19世纪和20世纪。因此,天文台的研究人员不得不依靠年轮。

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    《The economist》 |2009年第8622期|82|共1页
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