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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Economics and Finance >The Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development in Jordan
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The Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development in Jordan

机译:约旦股市发展宏观经济决定因素

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摘要

This study examines the causes of stock market development in Jordan. The study uses monthly data between 1990 and 2011. The data is tested for stationarity by employing unit root tests. Results confirm that all variables are stationary, enabling us to continue in the modeling process. To achieve this objective, a multivariate cointegration and variance decomposition analysis are applied to examine the impact of these sources. The estimated findings demonstrate that the variables namely; Money Supply relative to, Total Value Traded relative to , Gross Capital Formation relative to , Consumer Price Index (CPI), and Credit to private Sector relative to ?all have positive and considerable influences on stock market development. On the other hand, Nominal Gross Domestic Product and Net Remittances relative to ?have a negative impact. From the estimated VECM, the variance decompositions (VDC) have been simulated as a basis for inferences. The Johansen and Juselius’ multivariate cointegration and variance decompositions analysis also confirm the presence of both a long-term and short-term dynamic relationship between the Stock market capitalization relative to GDP and macroeconomic variables. In the light of these results, the paper provides some policy implications to Jordan.
机译:本研究探讨了约旦股市发展的原因。该研究使用了1990年至2011年间的每月数据。通过采用单位根测试来测试数据进行实用性。结果确认所有变量都是静止的,使我们能够在建模过程中继续。为实现这一目标,应用多变量协整和方差分解分析来检查这些来源的影响。估计的调查结果表明变量即;金钱供应相对于相对于,相对于毛额资本形成,相对于消费者价格指数(CPI),以及私营部门的信贷相对于股票市场的积极和相当大的影响。另一方面,标称国内生产总值和净汇款相对于?产生负面影响。从估计的VECM,已经模拟了方差分解(VDC)作为推论的基础。 Johansen和Juselius的多变量协整和方差分解分析还确认了相对于GDP和宏观经济变量的股票市场资本化之间的长期和短期动态关系。鉴于这些结果,本文向约旦提供了一些政策影响。

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