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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Economics and Finance >Non-linear Growth Impacts of Financial Development in Euro Area
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Non-linear Growth Impacts of Financial Development in Euro Area

机译:欧元区金融发展的非线性增长影响

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Using GMM model and data from 11 Euro Area countries and 5 non-Euro countries over the period 1989 to 2011, we explore the nonlinear effects of financial development on the performance of Euro Area economy that is: its growth, capital accumulation, investment and productivity. Four measures of financial developments are examined, namely, liquidity, size, volatility and bank’s loans to private enterprises. Special consideration is devoted to modeling threshold effects of public debt that has increased substantially in recent years in several Euro countries. We found that the effect of stock market size is always positive whether we consider the level of real per capita income or its growth. However, the effect of banking sector, volatility, liquidity and public debt are generally negative. In addition, we find support for the channels of investment, saving, total factor productivity, and capital intensity. For all the four channels, the results indicate a significant negative link between banking development and volatility of stock returns. The impact of debt on growth seems to be negative with the turning point of public debt likely to be between 45-65%.
机译:在1989年至2011年度,使用GMM模型和来自11欧元国家和5个非欧元国家的数据,我们探讨了金融发展对欧元区经济性能的非线性影响,即:其增长,资本积累,投资和生产力。检查了四项金融发展措施,即流动性,规模,波动和银行对民营企业的贷款。特殊考虑致力于建模公共债务的阈值效应,在几个欧元国家近年来大幅增加。我们发现股票市场规模的效果总是积极的,我们是否考虑了实际人均收入或其增长的水平。但是,银行业,波动性,流动性和公共债务的影响通常是消极的。此外,我们发现支持投资渠道,节省,总系数生产力和资本强度。对于所有四个渠道,结果表明银行开发与股票回报率波动之间的显着负联系。债务对增长的影响似乎是消极的,公共债务的转折点可能在45-65%之间。

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