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A Study on China’s Deleveraging and Financial Stability Under the Background of Financial Globalization

机译:金融全球化背景下的中国对金融稳定的研究

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This paper studies the impact of financial globalization and leverage ratio on China’s financial stability. After the 2008 financial crisis, maintaining the stability of the financial system is China’s core task. However, due to the increasing degree of China’s opening up policy, the risk of foreign shock is increasing. Meanwhile the domestic policy of deleverage is implemented, so the superposition of domestic and foreign situations aggravates the uncertainty of financial stability. Therefore, this paper selects the relevant variables to empirically study the real impact of financial globalization and leverage ratio on China’s financial stability through VAR model. The results show that the indicators of financial stability are most affected by their own inertia, and the deepening of financial globalization and the increasing of leverage ratio will have a positive effect on financial stability at the beginning, but in the later stage it fluctuates a lot. Based on the findings, the China government should put more emphasis on dealing with the relationship between leverage ratio, foreign risks and financial stability when making domestic financial policies.
机译:本文研究了金融全球化和杠杆比率对中国金融稳定的影响。在2008年的金融危机之后,保持金融体系的稳定是中国的核心任务。然而,由于中国开放政策的程度增加,外来休克的风险正在增加。与此同时,实施的国内折扣政策得到实施,因此国内外局势的叠加加剧了金融稳定的不确定性。因此,本文选择了相关变量,以经验研究金融全球化的实际影响,并通过VAR模型对中国的金融稳定性影响。结果表明,金融稳定的指标受到自己惯性的影响最大,而金融全球化的深化和杠杆率的增加将对一开始就对金融稳定产生积极影响,但在后期阶段它波动很多。根据调查结果,中国政府应更加重视处理国内金融政策时杠杆率,外国风险和金融稳定之间的关系。

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