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An investigation of transportation practices in an Ontario swine system using descriptive network analysis

机译:使用描述性网络分析调查安大略省猪系统的运输实践

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The objectives of this research were to describe the contact structure of transportation vehicles and swine facilities in an Ontario swine production system, and to assess their potential contribution to possible disease transmission over different time periods. A years’ worth of data (2015) was obtained from a large swine production and data management company located in Ontario, Canada. There was a total of 155 different transportation vehicles, and 220 different farms within the study population. Two-mode networks were constructed for 1-,3-, and 7-day time periods over the entire year and were analyzed. Trends in the size of the maximum weak component and outgoing contact chain over discrete time periods were investigated using linear regression. Additionally, the number of different types of facilities with betweenness 0 and in/out degree0 were analyzed using Poisson regression. Maximum weekly outgoing contact chain (MOCC w ) contained between 2.1% and 7.1% of the study population. This suggests a potential maximum of disease spread within this population if the disease was detected within one week. Frequency of node types within MOCC w showed considerable variability; although nursery sites were relatively most frequent. The regression analysis of several node and network level statistics indicated a potential peak time of connectivity during the summer months and warrants further confirmation and investigation. The inclusion of transportation vehicles contributed to the linear increase in the maximum weekly weak component (MWC w ) size over time. This finding in combination with constant population dynamics, may have been driven by the differential utilization of trucks over time. Despite known limitations of maximum weak components as an estimator of possible outbreaks, this finding suggests that transportation vehicles should be included, when possible and relevant, in the evaluation of contacts between farms.
机译:本研究的目标是描述安大略省猪生产系统中运输车辆和猪设施的接触结构,并在不同时间段内评估其对可能疾病传播的潜在贡献。多年来的数据数据(2015年)是从加拿大安大略省的大型猪生产和数据管理公司获得的。共有155辆不同的运输车辆,研究人群中有220个不同的农场。在整个年度的1个,3-,7天的时间段构建了两种模式网络。使用线性回归研究了在离散时间段的最大弱组件和传出接触链的趋势。另外,使用泊松回归分析了与间度和GT之间的不同类型的设施的数量和In / Out度& 0。最高每周外出的接触链(MOCC W)包含的2.1%和7.1%的研究人群。这表明如果在一周内检测到疾病,则患有该疾病的潜在的疾病。 MOCC W内的节点类型的频率显示出相当大的变化;虽然幼儿园位点相对频繁。几个节点和网络级别统计的回归分析表明了夏季期间连接的潜在峰值时间,并保证进一步确认和调查。包含运输车辆随着时间的推移最大的每周弱组分(MWC W)大小的线性增加。这一发现与持续的人口动态组合,可能是由于卡车随着时间的推移而导致的。尽管最大弱组件的已知局限性作为可能爆发的估算,但该发现表明,在可能和相关的情况下,应在农场接触时包括运输车辆。

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